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Currency outside banks surging ahead of elections

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TIRANA, March 29 – Currency outside banks has undergone a sharp increase in the past couple of years as deposit rates have plunged to historic low levels, giving rise to speculations about a rise in informal lending and money being used in electoral campaigns non-transparently.

Central bank data shows currency outside depository corporations rose to 249.2 billion lek (€1.82 billion) in 2016, up 8.1 percent or 18.6 billion lek (€136 million) compared to 2015.

A considerable part of the money is estimated to have been withdrawn from banks due to unfavourable deposit rates of below 1 percent and used in risky informal lending and even investment in online trading platforms where unlicensed operators offer attractive rates of return.

In a quite usual pre-electoral trend, the run-up to the June 2017 general elections is expected to bring a sharp increase in money outside banks, a considerable amount of which goes for campaigning for political parties and candidates.

The run-up to the June 21, 2015 local elections was accompanied by a sharp increase in currency outside banks, according to central bank data.

Data shows currency outside depository corporations rose to 226.5 billion lek (€1.65 bln) in June 2015, up 9.2 billion lek (€67.3 mln) compared to April that year, registering a big increase.

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Prof. Dr. Alaa Garad is President and Founding Partner of the Stirling Centre for Strategic Learning and Innovation, University of Stirling Innovation Park, Scotland. He is actively engaged in health tourism, higher education and organisational learning across the Western Balkans, including the Global Health Tourism Leadership Programme in Albania.

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